Interesting article in the NYT today — Back to the Moon! But Why? — wondering why NASA has announced its plan to establish a moon base at exactly the same time as we’ve discovered the near-certainty that there is liquid water flowing (probably sporadically) on the surface of Mars.
The writer doesn’t answer his own, doubtless rhetorical, question and also doesn’t articulate what I think are the two overriding reasons for this strategy, which are that our born-again president doesn’t want to run the risk of NASA discovering life on another planet, and that he wants to stymie climate research.
So allow me to present my conspiracy theory:
1. We have a born-again president, who like other fundamentalist Christians doesn’t believe in evolution, despite the mass of evidence supporting it. He believes that Creationism, under its new guise of “Intelligent Design” should be taught in schools. It would be a major problem for fundamentalist Christians if life were to be discovered on another planet, because that would cause us to think more about the origins of life. Who created that life? Why would God create microbes and put them on Mars, or Europa?
Since the Viking probes in the late 1970s, not one of the probes that we’ve sent to Mars has conducted experiments to test for living organisms. (The Viking landers may actually have discovered evidence of life, but that’s another story). At the same time, our Mars missions have come ever closer to showing that the conditions for life (volcanic heat, liquid water) exist on Mars in abundance. There’s even evidence of biological methane production. In addition, recently life has been show to exist in increasingly unlikely places on Earth, such as in boiling water, ancient salt deposits, and buried in rocks deep below our feet.
Life on Mars is an increasingly likely possibility, almost a probability. So let’s not look! Heavens, we might find it! Instead, let’s spend massive amounts of money on an International Space Station, and then when that’s hanging there in the sky like the $100 billion Christmas tree ornament from hell, let’s start building a replica of it on the Moon. That’s a good way to keep those pesky scientists busy.
If this is the republican agenda then it’s extremely cunning. But then this administration is not lacking in cunning.
At the same time this hypothetical agenda is deeply flawed as a way of thwarting evolutionary research. The Moon is a repository of ancient rocks that have been blasted off of the surface of the Earth and preserved in ideal (cold, dry) conditions. Any microorganisms on those rocks would have been beautifully freeze-dried. Even the fragile DNA (maybe RNA in the very first organisms) would be beautifully preserved.
The Moon is a giant specimen cabinet, chock full with a collection of preserved life from our own planet — a collection that is utterly disordered but absolutely complete. While records of the first life on Earth have, here at home, been sucked deep below the Earth’s surface and recycled, on the Moon you’ll find preserved prehistoric Earth organisms literally lying on the surface waiting to be picked up.
The Bush administration isn’t much interested in science (it’s riddled with inconvenient truths) so they probably don’t know they’re sending us to an evolutionary treasure-trove, but if they woke up to this fact (and got back into power) they could do the same with the Moon Base as they did with the International Space Station — cut the personnel so that the structure can be built and maintained but so that there isn’t enough man-power to do any actual research.
2. We have a pro-business, anti environment president, who believes (or wants to believe) that human-induced global heating is a myth, despite the near-consensus amongst scientists and the massively overwhelming evidence that human activity is indeed warming our planet in a way that could be catastrophic for our species.
Until recently, NASA had as part of its mission statement, “to understand and protect our home planet.” That phrase was recently cut. A Bush appointee, George C. Deutsch, told a Web designer to add the word “theory” at every mention of the Big Bang. NASA’s top climate scientist, James E. Hansen, claimed that NASA tried to stop him from speaking publicly after he gave a lecture calling for prompt reductions in emissions of greenhouse gases linked to global warming.
Many of the programs to be cut in order to fund the return to the moon focus on finding evidence of Earth-like planets such as the Terrestrial Planet Finder and SIM Planet Quest, or relate to climate research (decisions have been made not to replace a number of Earth-observing satellites). Oh, and a plan to examine the ice-covered ocean on Europa has been canceled as well, even though the National Academy of Sciences and NASA advisory committees believe that the exploration of Europa is, after Mars, the highest research priority in our solar system. Too much chance of finding life? Actually, I don’t think NASA is in on the conspiracy, give or take a Bush appointee or two, but when you’re told to throw billions into a hole on the Moon, you have to take the money from other, more scientifically, productive, areas of your work.
It seems to me that there’s enough evidence to suggest that the Bush administration is pumping money into massively expensive operations — like the ISS and the proposed Moon Base — in order to stop climate research and astrobiology, thus keeping the fossil fuel and fundamentalist Christian lobbies happy.
But why not just cut NASA’s funding altogether, rather than giving them billions and telling them to waste it? Two reasons: One, there would be a scientific outcry, and you’d allow the scientists the opportunity to get in the media and talk about climate research and evolutionary research. Bad! Two, there would be an outcry from your friends in business, who love being given billions of dollars of tax-payers’ money, and from the politicians in whose states such billions are being spent, providing well-paid jobs. Worse! These senators and state representatives are the people who keep conservative presidents in office.
Spending massive amounts of money on going back to the moon is a Win-Win proposition: a win for fundamentalist Christians and a win for big business.